Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Security and Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
Severe Weather Alerts
Visit NWS Tweets
Temperatures Warm into New Week with Some Clouds; A Cold Front Due Friday Morning with More Seasonal Temperatures Due over the Weekend With Some Clouds and Very Minimal Rain Chances (Monday / 15 February 2026)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx
Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera.
On weekends and other holidays when this site is not updated, I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast for metro Austin.
Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx.
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so
it can receive and activate/alarm when NWS watches and warnings are issued ..
.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
—-
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
Mo/16Feb..
No Weather Threats
Tu/17Feb..
No Weather Threats
We/18Feb..
No Weather Threats
Th/19Feb..
No Weather Threats
Fr/20Feb..
No Weather Threats
Sa/21Feb..
No Weather Threats
Su/22Feb..
No Weather Threats
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, the forecast
is for less than 0.10 inch of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties over the 7 day
forecast period which ends next Monday. Those rain chances, in a lower
confidence forecast, are expected Saturday night into Sunday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
Skies have cleared with a drier air mass taking hold. As surface high pressure
moves east of the area, a more pronounced warming trend will return mid into
late week as south southwesterly surface winds increase. Clouds will thicken
up a bit mid into late week with above average afternoon highs once again
expected.
A weak cold front will move through the area Friday morning resulting in a
cooling trend for next weekend. Clouds may pick up a little with some minimal
rain chances Saturday night into Sunday but confidence is low with this being
seven days out.
LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– High to very high forecast confidence today through Saturday.
– Medium forecast confidence regarding clouds/rain chances Saturday night into Sunday.
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
(Updated Monday / 15 February 2025)
MONDAY – WASHINGTON’S BIRTHDAY (16Feb)….
Mostly sunny.
High in the upper 70s.
Calm winds early becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.
MONDAY NIGHT….
Becoming partly cloudy.
Low in the mid 50s.
Light southerly wind.
TUESDAY (17Feb)….
Mostly sunny and unseasonably warm.
High in the low 80s.
Southerly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph with a few higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT….
Becoming partly cloudy.
Low around 60.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph with a few higher gusts becoming 4 to 8 mph late.
WEDNESDAY (18 Feb)….
Partly cloudy and unseasonably warm.
High in the mid 80s.
Southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Low in the low 60s.
Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY (19Feb)….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
High in the mid 80s.
South southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Low around 60.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY (20Feb)….
Partly cloudy as a cold front passes mid morning.
High around 80.
Light southwesterly wind shifting northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Low in the mid 50s.
Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY (21Feb)….
Mostly sunny.
High in the mid 70s.
East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Becoming partly to mostly cloudy and cooler with a few sprinkles after midnight.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20% chance, will average less than 0.05 inch.
Low in the mid to upper 40s.
East northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light easterly late.
SUNDAY (22Feb)….
Partly to mostly cloudy and cooler with a few sprinkles.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a less than 20% chance, will average less than 0.05 inch.
High in the mid to upper 60s.
Light east northeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph with a few higher gusts.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 23 February 2026 through Sunday / 01 March 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 13 February 2026)
Valid Saturday / 28 February 2026 through Friday / 13 March 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Below Normal
