Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Security and Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
Severe Weather Alerts
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An Unsetted Weather Pattern over the Coming Days; Rain Chances Reappear on Tuesday Night and Then Increase as a Stronger Cold Front Passes Wednesday; Much Cooler Temperatures Settle In with Moisture from the South Gliding Up from the South Resulted in a Cloudy and Wet Weather Pattern Late Week into the Weekend; Sunshine Returns with a Warming Trend on Sunday (Monday / 27 April 2026)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx
Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera.
On weekends and other holidays when this site is not updated, I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast for metro Austin.
Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx.
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so
it can receive and activate/alarm when NWS watches and warnings are issued ..
.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
—-
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
Mo/27Apr..
No Weather Hazards Expected
Tu/28Apr..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms Tuesday Night
We/29Apr..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Th/30Apr..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Fr/01May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Sa/02May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms During the Day
Su/03May..
No Weather Threats Expected
—
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, the forecast
is for, on average, 1.50 to 2.00 inches of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties over the
7 day forecast period which ends next Sunday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
We start off the week with morning low clouds giving way to sunshine and
unseasonably high afternoon temperatures.
An approaching upper air low pressure disturbance will begin to create
atmospheric lift by late Tuesday with rain shower and thunderstorm chances
increasing as a surface cold front approaches from the north by midday on
Wednesday.
In the wake of the front, several trailing upper air disturbances will keep gulf
moisture streaming up and over the cooler air settling over our area resulting
in extensive clouds and better precipitation chances Thursday into midday
Saturday.
Precipitation chances will taper off by Saturday afternoon with clouds breaking
Saturday night.
Sunshine returns with a warming trend on Sunday.
LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– High forecast confidence through the next seven days..
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
(Updated Monday / 27 April 2026)
MONDAY (27Apr)….
Mostly cloudy in the morning then partly cloudy. Unseasonably warm.
High in the low to mid 90s.
Southerly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy.
Low in the low 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY (28Apr)….
Mostly cloudy in the morning then partly cloudy. Unseasonably warm.
High in the low to mid 90s.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorm with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.05 inch.
Low in the low 70s.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY (29Apr)…
Mostly cloudy. Unseasonably warm before a cold front passes by early afternoon.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorm with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.15 inch.
High in the low 90s.
Southwesterly wind sifting north northeasterly 5 to 12 mph by afternoon.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.15 inch.
Low in the mid to upper 60s.
North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
THURSDAY (30Apr)….
Mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.25 inch.
High around 80.
East northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT….
Mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average less than 0.25 inch.
Low in the mid to upper 60s.
East northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY (01May)….
Cloudy.
Scattered to numerous rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 60% chance of rain, will average less than 0.50 inch.
High in the low 70s.
Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT….
Cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain, will average 0.25 inch.
Low in the mid to upper 50s.
Light wind.
SATURDAY (02May)….
Mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 2pm.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain, will average less than 0.25 inch.
High in the upper 60s to around 70.
Light easterly wind.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Mostly cloudy early becoming partly cloudy.
Low in the mid 50s.
Light wind.
SUNDAY (26Apr)….
Partly cloudy in the morning then partly cloudy.
High in the mid 70s.
Light wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 04 May 2026 through Sunday / 10 May 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Slightly Below Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 24 April 2026)
Valid Saturday / 09 May 2026 through Friday / 22 May 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Above Normal
