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Troy Kimmel

UT Office of Security and Emergency Management

Incident Response Meteorologist

Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu

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A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Continues Through the Next Seven Days with Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon into Evening Heat Stress (Friday / 07 August 2026)

Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera.

On weekends and other holidays when this site is not updated, I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast for metro Austin.

Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx.
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so
it can receive and activate/alarm when NWS watches and warnings are issued ..
.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…

Fr/07Aug..
Elevated Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Sa/08Aug..
Elevated Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Su/09Aug..
Elevated Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Mo/10Aug..
Elevated Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Tu/11Aug..
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

We/12Aug..
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance and model forecasts,
little if any rainfall is currently forecast for our IH35 corridor counties
over the 7 day forecast period ending on Thursday.

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

Upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, continues to our
northwest resulting in a stable summer weather pattern. A more southerly surface
wind has resulted in higher low level humidity levels and this will continue through
the balance of the seven day forecast period.

Like we saw yesterday, we need to watch for a few afternoon into early evening
rain showers and thunderstorms to our east and southeast over east and
southeast Texas and the Texas coastal plains. At this point, my confidence is
quite low that this activity as far west as our IH35 corridor.

As we’ve seen lately, afternoon into evening temperatures are combining with the
increased atmospheric moisture and resulting in more elevated heat index and
wet bulb globe temperature values. The heat index and wet bulb globe temperature
values will rise a bit higher and, at times, even a little closer to dangerous levels, so
please remember to remain hydrated and to “take it easy” if you’re outdoors in the
afternoon and evening hours.

LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– A very high forecast confidence for over the next seven days.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor

FRIDAY (07Aug)….
Brief morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the upper 90s to around 100.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 107 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 88 F.
Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY (08Aug)…
Brief morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the upper 90s.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 105 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 87 F.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY (09Aug)….
Brief morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the upper 90s.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 105 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 87 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT….
Clear early then becoming partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY (10Aug)….
Brief morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the upper 90s.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 106 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 87 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY (11Aug)….
Brief morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 100.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 107 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 88 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY (12Aug)….
Brief morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 100.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 107 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 88 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 13 August 2026 through Wednesday / 19 August 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Below Normal

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday/31Jul2026)
Valid Saturday / 15 August 2026 through Friday / 28 August 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near to Slightly Below Normal

 

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