Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Security and Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
Severe Weather Alerts
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Rain and Storm Chances into the Weekend; A More Stable Weather Pattern Sunday into Next Week (Weekend Update)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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@troykimmelwx
Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera.
On weekends and other holidays when this site is not updated, I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast for metro Austin.
Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx.
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so
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.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
Sa/20Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress/WBGT
Su/21Jun..
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress/WBGT
Mo/22Jun..
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress/WBGT
Tu/23Jun..
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress/WBGT
We/24Jun..
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress/WBGT
Th/25Jun..
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress/WBGT
—
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance and model forecasts,
less than 0.50 inch of rainfall is forecast for our IH35 corridor counties over
the 7 day forecast period which ends Friday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
A weak low pressure disturbance and a surface cold front looks to
washout overhead into tonight with rain and storm chances
continuing for our IH35 corridor. The front will return back
northeastward as a warm front over the weekend.
A drier and more stable weather pattern arrives by Sunday and
continues through much of next week.
An additional note.. elevated heat stress and web bulb globe
temperature values over the coming days will continue to be an
issue especially once we get into next week. Please be cautious
with any midday and afternoon outdoor activities.
LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– A high to very high forecast confidence today through the seven day period..
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
SATURDAY (20Jun)….
Cloudy early then partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average less than 0.20 inch.
Afternoon high in the low to mid 90s.
Maximum afternoon heat stress (HI) index 105 F
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 86 F.
Light wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY (21Jun)….
Clouds early becoming partly cloudy in the afternoon.
Afternoon high in the mid 90s.
Maximum afternoon heat stress (HI) index 109 F
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 87 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
MONDAY (22Jun)….
Morning low clouds then mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the mid to upper 90s.
Maximum afternoon heat stress (HI) index 107 F
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 86 F.
Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TUESDAY (23Jun)….
Morning low clouds then mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the mid to upper 90s.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 107 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 87 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind diminishing to 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY (24Jun)….
Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the mid to upper 90s.
Maximum afternoon heat stress (HI) index 107 F
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 87 F.
South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
THURSDAY (25Jun)….
Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the mid to upper 90s.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 106 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 86 F.
Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 26 June 2026 through Thursday / 02 July 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near to Slightly Below Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday/12Jun2026)
Valid Saturday / 27 June 2026 through Friday / 10 July 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Below Normal
