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Troy Kimmel

UT University / Incident Response Meteorologist

Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu

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A Dry and Warmer Weather Pattern Late Week Through the Weekend with another Cold Front with Rain Chances Late Monday; A Bit Cooler for Monday Night into the Middle Part of Next Week Under a Mostly Clear Sky (Th/28Mar2024 Update)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Thursday / 28 March 2024

… Not Available Today …

Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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@troykimmelwx

On weekends and other University holidays when this site is not updated,
I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast
for metro Austin at this link.

In times of severe and/or inclement weather, you can follow the latest area
watch, advisory and warning updates from our local NWS Austin-San Antonio
office through their website.. or by reading the actual text products (always
the most recent at the top of the page) through this link which is courtesy of
the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Always check the date and time of issuance
of these NWS text products since, in periods of tranquil weather, the latest
products may be outdated and/or expired.

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Threats Expected …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) In the wake of yesterday’s passing upper air low pressure disturbance, we’ll see the return of southerly surface winds. A stable, but breezy and warmer, weather pattern prevails today throughout our upcoming weekend. A tighter pressure gradient will result in some stronger wind gusts winds for the time period. In this southerly flow, low level moisture will begin a return by the weekend into early next week.

(2) Another Pacific upper level low pressure disturbance will cross Texas west to east Monday into Monday night and an associated surface cold front will move through the area early Monday evening. The atmosphere, ahead of these systems, will have a chance to recover moisture and instability wise and, as a result, widely scattered to scattered precipitation is expected.

(3) A cooler, drier and more stable air mass will arrive from the northwest in the wake of the cold front for Monday night into Wednesday of next week with a mostly clear sky prevailing.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, less than 0.15 inch of rainfall is forecast for our IH35 corridor over the next seven day period (specifically in the 6pm to 11pm period on Monday).

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to very high.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Thursday / 28 March 2024

TODAY (28Mar)…. Mostly sunny. High 78. Light wind early becoming south southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 55. South southeasterly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY (29Mar)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny High 80. Southerly wind 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 60. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY (30Mar)…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 81. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 64. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SUNDAY (31Mar)…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 83. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early.. low clouds late. Low 67. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

MONDAY (01Apr)…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 87. Southerly wind 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front passes by 10pm. Rainfall, given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.10 inch or less. Low 61. South southwesterly wind shifting northwesterly 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY (02Apr)…. Mostly sunny and less humid. High 78. Northwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear and cooler. Low 50. North northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY (03Apr)…. Mostly sunny. High 72. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 04 April 2024 through Wednesday / 10 April 2024
Temperatures… Near to Slightly Above Average
Precipitation… Slightly Above Average

AUSTIN SUNRISE/SUNSET TIMES…..
Today (Th/28Mar)………………………… 7:25 am / 7:48 pm
Tomorrow (Fr/29Mar)…………………… 7:23 am / 7:48 pm

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