Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Security and Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
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An Upper Level Low Pressure Disturbance Moves Overhead Later Tonight Through Tomorrow with Renewed Rain and Storm Chances with Some Periods of Heavier Rain; Clouds Break with More Sunshine For Late Week; Another Disturbance with Renewed Rain Chances for the Weekend (Tuesday / 26 May 2026)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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@troykimmelwx
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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
Tu/26May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
We/27May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Heavier Rain at Times; Some Flooding Issues Possible
Th/28May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Fr/29May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Sa/30May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Su/31May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Mo/01Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
—
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, the forecast
is for, on average, 2.50 inches of rainfall, with isolated higher amounts,
for our IH35 corridor counties over the 7 day forecast period which ends
Monday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
A stronger upper level low pressure disturbance will cross the IH35 corridor later
tonight through tomorrow with renewed rain and storm chances. While there could
be some periods of heavier rain and local minor urban flood issues, total rainfall
forecast amounts should remain in the manageable range.
Once the mid week system passes, we’ll see clouds break with more sunshine
with only slim rain chances for the end of the week.
Another disturbance is headed our way, it would appear, for the weekend with the
possibility, once again, of some heavier rainfall totals.
LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– High to very high forecast confidence through the next seven days..
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
TUESDAY (26May)….
Partly cloudy early becoming mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 90.
Calm wind becoming southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then becoming cloudy.
Scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat after 11pm.
Periods of heavy rain early with some urban flooding issues possible after 11pm.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance at 10pm then 80% after midnight, will average 0.50 to 1.00 inch.
Overnight low around 70.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY (27May)….
Cloudy.
Scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 3pm.
Periods of heavy rain early with some urban flooding issues possible.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 80% chance of rain, will average 0.50 to 0.75 inch.
Afternoon high in the low 80s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before midnight.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.15 inch or less.
Overnight low around 70.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming calm.
THURSDAY (28May)….
Partly to mostly cloudy in the morning then partly cloudy in the afternoon.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat in the afternoon.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.10 inch or less.
Afternoon high in the upper 80s.
Calm wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
THURSDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the low to mid 70s.
Light easterly wind becoming calm.
FRIDAY (29May)….
Partly cloudy early then mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 90.
Calm wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Light south southeasterly wind.
SATURDAY (30May)….
Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the low 90s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat late.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.20 inch or less.
Overnight low in the low to mid 70s.
Light south southeasterly wind.
SUNDAY (31May)….
Partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.25 inch or less.
Afternoon high in the upper 80s.
Light south southeasterly wind becoming southerly 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT….
Mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average less than 0.25 inch.
Overnight lows in the low to mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY (01Jun)….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average less than 0.25 inch.
Afternoon highs in the upper 80s.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 02 June 2026 through Monday / 08 June 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Below Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 22 May 2026)
Valid Saturday / 06 June 2026 through Friday / 19 June 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Near Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near Normal
