Troy Kimmel's Weather Updates

** Clouds and Rain Chances Return – Cold Front Friday ** (We/20Nov2019)

Troy’s  Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Wednesday / 20 November 2019 ….

      
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

On Twitter, follow me and
activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

.. No Hazards ..

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES…

(1) An upper level storm system, currently moving east northeast from the southwestern USA, will cross the southern plains over the next 24 hours and, as a result, our atmosphere is growing more moist and unstable; Clouds have increased and thickened. As the initial upper air disturbance moves through, we’ll see slim rain chances return to our forecast by this afternoon.

(2) As the earlier disturbance moves over Texas today into tonight, another strong upper level low over the Pacific Ocean will settle into place over the eastern Pacific Ocean and the southwestern USA and will move east northeastward for the end of the week into the weekend with better rain and perhaps even thunderstorm chances. As this second upper level low pressure storm system moves by, a stronger surface cold front will move through the area during the morning hours on Friday. Because the front may outpace the upper level low, we may keep rain and thunderstorm chances going on back in the cooler air for most of the afternoon Friday before rain chances decrease and clouds break early Friday night.

(3) A drier and more stable weather pattern with temperatures falling back to below season averages is likely for our upcoming weekend.

(4) Southerly surface winds and increased moisture, with increased clouds and humidity, will be seen for the first part of next week as another cold front approaches.

—-

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated  Wednesday / 20 November 2019

TODAY…. Patchy AM fog and low clouds. Partly to mostly cloudy. Becoming breezy. A few rain showers by afternoon. Rainfall, given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.05″ or less. High 79. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts to 25 mph by afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers. Rainfall, given a 30%chance of rain, will average 0.05″. Low 65. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. Rainfall, given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.10″. High 78. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.10″. Low 65. Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph.

FRIDAY…. Cloudy and turning cooler with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front passes in the morning. Rainfall, given a 60% chance of rain, will average 0.25″. Rain chances decreasing by late afternoon. High 65 with temperatures falling in the afternoon. Southerly wind early shifting north northwesterly 10 to 18 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Decreasing clouds early becoming partly cloudy after 7pm and then clear after midnight. Low 42. North northwesterly wind decreasing to 5 to 12 mph. 

SATURDAY…. Sunshine. High 65. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 42. Light north northeasterly wind.

SUNDAY…. Sunshine. High 69. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming more easterly in the afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 48. Light east southeasterly wind.

MONDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 72. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. Low 56. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front moves through by afternoon. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.25″ or less. High 72. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph shifting northwesterly by afternoon.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK          
Valid Wednesday / 27 November 2019 through Tuesday / 03 December 2019…
Temperatures… Above Average   
Precipitation… Below Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (20 November)…………………………………… 7:01 am
Sunset this evening (20 November)…………………………………….. 5:32 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (21 November)……………………………………….. 7:02 am
Sunset tomorrow (21 November)………………………………………… 5:31 pm