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Troy Kimmel

UT University / Incident Response Meteorologist

Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu

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A Rather Stable Late Spring Weather Pattern Through the Next Seven Day Forecast Period with Limited Rain Chances; Potentially Better Rain Chances Just Beyond the Seven Day Forecast Period (Fr/26May2023)

Audio Weather Webcast
(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 26 May 2023

…. Not Available Today ….

Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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@troykimmelwx

In times of severe and/or inclement weather, you can follow
the latest area watch, advisory and warning updates from our
local NWS Austin-San Antonio office through their website…
www.weather.gov/ewx … or by reading the actual text products
(always the most recent at the top of the page) through this link
which is courtesy of the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Always
check the date and time of issuance of these NWS text products
since, in periods of tranquil weather, these products may be
outdated and/or expired.

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

… No Weather Hazards Expected …

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) I generally expect a stable late spring weather pattern through the next seven day forecast period with more sunshine with temperatures warming back closer to seasonal levels.

(2) As the weak front that passed through our area with the thunderstorms in the predawn hours on Wednesday passes back northeastward through the area Sunday night into the first part of next week, we could see an uptick in rain and thunderstorm chances Monday through Tuesday night.

(3) A drier and more weather pattern builds over the area again for middle into latter part of next week before rain chances reappear again by the following weekend as a new surge of moisture moves into the area from the Gulf of Mexico.

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, rainfall will average around 0.50 to 0.75 inch for the IH35 corridor over the next seven days.

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast continues today and tonight and continuing through the weekend with a high confidence forecast for most of next week.

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 26 May 2023

TODAY (26May)…. Mostly sunny. High 87. Light northeast wind early becoming more east southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 67. Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming calm late.

SATURDAY (27 May)…. Mostly sunny. High 89. Calm wind becoming east southeasterly 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy. Low 68. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming more southeasterly after midnight.

SUNDAY (28May)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 88. Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy. Low 69. Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY / MEMORIAL DAY (29May)…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms developing with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. High 84. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 68. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY (30May)…. Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.25 inch. High 85. East southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy late. Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms before 9pm with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.10 inch. Low 68. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY (31May)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 86. East southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early becoming partly cloudy late. Low 68. East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY (01June)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise mostly sunny. High 86. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early becoming partly cloudy late. Low 69. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY (02June)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy. High 86. Southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Saturday / 02 June 2023 through Friday / 09 June 2023
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (26May)………………………………………… 6:31 am
Sunset this evening (26May)………………………………………….. 8:25 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (27May)…………………………………………….. 6:31 am
Sunset tomorrow (27May)……………………………………………… 8:26 pm

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