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Troy Kimmel

UT Office of Security and Emergency Management

Incident Response Meteorologist

Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu

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After Some Rain Yesterday, A Drier Weather Pattern Returns into the New Week; Afternoon into Evening Heat Stress and Wildfire Danger Continues (Monday / 07 September 2026)

Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera.

On weekends and other holidays when this site is not updated, I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast for metro Austin.

Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx.
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so
it can receive and activate/alarm when NWS watches and warnings are issued ..
.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…

Mo/07Sep
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Tu/08Sep
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

We/09Sep
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Th/10Sep
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Fr/11Sep..
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Sa/12Sep..
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

Su/13Sep..
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress

7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance and model forecasts,
little if any rainfall is forecast for our IH35 corridor counties over the 7 day
forecast period ending on Sunday.

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

After some rain showers and thunderstorms on Sunday, a more stable and drier
late summer weather pattern is setting up as we move into our new week. I do
not see any precipitation over the next seven day forecast period.

In addition, with elevated to dangerous afternoon and evening heat stress
over the next seven days, a friendly reminder to please stay hydrated and
take it easy out there in the afternoon into evening hours.

Finally, we continue to see drought conditions worsen overall over the area and
vegetation continues to dry out, wildfire danger continues to slowly increase
over our area. So far, winds have been relatively light so the danger has been
limited. As we wrap up summer in September and head into the fall months, this
danger will likely continue to get worse assuming no precipitation (which I’m not
really seeing in longer range climate outlooks). Another thing we need to monitor
are any early fall season cold fronts and any stronger northerly winds that might
occur with frontal passage. As I mention, at this time, I do not see either of these
things happening in the next couple of weeks, but I will continue to monitor
things closely. Burns bans continue for our IH35 counties so I would strongly
discourage any outdoor burning.

LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– A very high forecast confidence through Sunday

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor

MONDAY- LABOR DAY (07Sep)….
Mostly sunny during the day.. mostly clear at night.
Afternoon high around 100 (with max afternoon HI 105F/max afternoon WBGT 88F).
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph at night .

TUESDAY (08Sep)….
Mostly sunny during the day.. mostly clear at night.
Afternoon high around 101 (with max afternoon HI 107F/max afternoon WBGT 88F).
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming southeasterly at night.

WEDNESDAY (09Sep)….
Mostly sunny during the day.. mostly clear at night.
Afternoon high around 101 (with max afternoon HI 108F/max afternoon WBGT 89F)..
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming southeasterly at night.

THURSDAY (10Sep)….
Mostly sunny during the day.. mostly clear at night.
Afternoon high around 102 (with max afternoon HI 109F/max afternoon WBGT 90F).
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY (11Sep)….
Mostly sunny during the day.. mostly clear at night.
Afternoon high around 102 (with max afternoon HI 109F/max afternoon WBGT 90F).
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming south southeasterly 5 to 10 mph at night.

SATURDAY (12Sep)….
Mostly sunny during the day.. mostly clear at night.
Afternoon high around 101 (with max afternoon HI 108F/max afternoon WBGT 90F).
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
Southerly wind 8 to 15 mph becoming south southeasterly at night.

SUNDAY (13Sep)….
Becoming partly cloudy.
Afternoon high around 100 (with max afternoon HI 107F/max afternoon WBGT 88F).
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 14 September 2026 through Sunday / 20 September 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 04 September 2026)
Valid Saturday / 19 September 2026 through Friday / 02 October 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation.. Better Chances of Near to Slightly Above Normal

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