Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Security and Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
Severe Weather Alerts
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A Drier Weather Pattern with More Sunshine For Late Week into the Weekend Before Slim Rain and Storm Chances Reappear Sunday Night into Next Week; A Weak Cold Front Moves into the Area by Late Tuesday (Thursday / 28 May 2026)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx
Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera.
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Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
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.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
—-
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
Th/28May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Fr/29May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Sa/30May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Su/31May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms Sunday Night
Mo/01Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Tu/02Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
We/03Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
—
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, the forecast
is for, on average, 0.10 inch of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties over
the 7 day forecast period which ends Wednesday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
As a more stable weather pattern reestablishes, we’ll see clouds break with more
sunshine now through most of the weekend. With the sunshine, afternoon high
temperatures will warm closer to seasonal averages.
By late Sunday into next week, the atmosphere appears, in a lower confidence
forecast, to become slightly more unstable. I will increase clouds a bit and will
continue with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with temperatures
falling a degree or two following a weak “backdoor” cold front (coming into our
area from the northeast).
LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– Very high forecast confidence through Sunday
– Medium to high forecast confidence Sunday night through Wednesday
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
THURSDAY (28May)….
Patchy fog with morning low clouds otherwise becoming sunny by mid to late morning.
Afternoon high in the upper 80s.
Calm wind becoming east southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the low to mid 70s.
Light east southeasterly wind becoming calm.
FRIDAY (29May)….
Some morning low clouds otherwise sunshine.
Afternoon high around 90.
Calm wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Light south southeasterly wind becoming calm.
SATURDAY (30May)….
Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the low 90s.
Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Light south southeasterly wind becoming calm.
SUNDAY (31May)….
Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the low 90s.
Light wind becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then low clouds late.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Light south southeasterly wind becoming calm.
MONDAY (01Jun)….
Morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch.
Afternoon highs in the low 90s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy as a weak cold front passes by midnight.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the low to mid 70s.
Light southerly wind shifting light northeasterly late.
TUESDAY (02Jun)…
Partly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch.
Afternoon highs in the upper 80s to around 90.
Light northeasterly wind.
TUESDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the low 70s.
Light northeasterly wind.
WEDNESDAY (03Jun)….
Partly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch.
Afternoon highs in the upper 80s.
Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 04 June 2026 through Tuesday / 09 June 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Near Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Above Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 22 May 2026)
Valid Saturday / 06 June 2026 through Friday / 19 June 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Near Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near Normal
