Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Security and Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
Severe Weather Alerts
Visit NWS Tweets
Rain and Storm Chances in the Forecast into the Weekend; Temperatures Warming Saturday into Sunday Before Another Cold Front Passes Sunday Night; A Quiet Start to Next Week with Temperatures Near Seasonal to Slightly Above Averages (Friday / 08 May 2026)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx
Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera.
On weekends and other holidays when this site is not updated, I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast for metro Austin.
Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx.
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so
it can receive and activate/alarm when NWS watches and warnings are issued ..
.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
—-
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
Fr/08May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Sa/09May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Su/10May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms Sunday Night
Mo/11May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Tu/12May..
No Weather Threats Expected
We/13May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Th/14May..
No Weather Threats Expected
—
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, the forecast
is for, on average, 1.25 inches of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties
over the 7 day forecast period which ends next Thursday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
With cooler surface air in place, we will continue to see rain and storm chances
into the weekend as a series of upper level low pressure disturbances cross
the area. Rain chances will decrease late Saturday into Sunday with some clouds
breaking a bit.
A final upper level low pressure disturbance will approach and cross the area
by Sunday night. As that occurs, we’ll see a quick shot at rain showers and
thunderstorms as another associated weak surface cold front moves southward
across through the area.
Skies will clear with drier air and a more stable atmosphere taking hold for
the first half of next week with temperatures near to slightly above seasonal
averages.
LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– High forecast confidence through Sunday night..
– Very high forecast confidence Monday into Thursday..
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
FRIDAY (08May)….
Cloudy in the morning then partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.30 inch.
Afternoon high in the upper 70s.
Calm wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT….
Partly to mostly cloudy early then becoming cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lighting threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain, will average 0.35 inch.
Overnight low in the upper 60s.
Southeasterly wind decreasing and becoming light overnight.
SATURDAY (09May)….
Cloudy in the morning with decreasing clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 4pm.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain, will average 0.40 inch.
Afternoon high in the mid 80s.
Light wind early becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Becoming partly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers before 8pm.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch.
Overnight low in the upper 60s to around 70.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming calm.
SUNDAY (10May)….
Partly cloudy in the morning then mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the upper 80s.
South southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT….
Becoming partly to mostly cloudy as a cold front passes before midnight.
Decreasing clouds becoming partly cloudy after midnight.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before midnight.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.35 inch.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 60s.
Southerly wind shifting northerly 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY (11May)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the mid 80s.
Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming more northeasterly by afternoon.
MONDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the mid 60s.
Light east northeasterly wind early then becoming calm.
TUESDAY (12May)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the mid to upper 80s.
Light wind early becoming southerly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.
TUESDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the upper 60s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light southeasterly late.
WEDNESDAY (13May)….
Partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the upper 80s.
South southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low around 70.
Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY (14May)….
Morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the upper 80s.
South southeasterly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 15 May 2026 through Thursday / 21 May 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Above Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 01 May 2026)
Valid Saturday / 16 May 2026 through Friday / 29 May 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Near to Slightly Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Above Normal
