Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Security and Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
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A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Continues Through the Balance of the Seven Day Forecast Period with Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon into Evening Heat Stress (Friday/14 August 2026)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx
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Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
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.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
Fr/14Aug..
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress
Sa/15Aug..
Elevated to Dangerous Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress
Su/16Aug..
Elevated Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress
Mo/17Aug..
Elevated Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress
Tu/18Aug..
Elevated Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress
We/19Aug..
Elevated Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress
Th/20Aug..
Elevated Afternoon/Evening Heat Stress
—
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance and model forecasts,
no rainfall is forecast for our IH35 corridor counties over the 7 day forecast
period ending on Thursday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
Upper level high pressure, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, continues
to strengthen through the balance of the seven day forecast period. This will
result in a more stable pattern (and less influence from the Gulf) meaning a
dry pattern through the weekend and through much of next week.
Low level humidity levels will continue through the balance of the seven day
forecast period resulting in higher afternoon and evening heat stress over
the next seven days. Stay hydrated and take it easy out there in the afternoon
into evening hours.
LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– A very high forecast confidence through next Tuesday.
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
FRIDAY (14Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the around 101.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 107 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 88 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher afternoon gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
Southerly wind decreasing to 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY (15Aug)…
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 101.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 108 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 88 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind decreasing to 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY (16Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 101.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 107 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 87 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY (17Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 101.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 106 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 87 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY (18Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 101.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 106 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 88 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY (19Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 101.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 106 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 87 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher afternoon gusts.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Low in the upper 70s.
Southerly wind decreasing to 5 to 10 mph.
THURSDAY (20Aug)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 100.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 105 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 87 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher afternoon gusts.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 21 August 2026 through Thursday / 27 August 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near to Slightly Below Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday/07Aug2026)
Valid Saturday / 22 August 2026 through Friday / 04 September 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation.. Better Chances of Near Normal
