Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Security and Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
Severe Weather Alerts
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Rain and Storm Chances Return to the Forecast Beginning Tonight in a More Unstable Environment (Tuesday / 02 June 2026)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx
Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera.
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Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx.
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.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
—-
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
Tu/02Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
We/03Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Th/04Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Fr/05Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Sa/06Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Su/07Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Mo/08Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
—
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, the forecast
is for, on average, 0.75 to 1.00 inch of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties
over the 7 day forecast period which ends Monday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
Our atmosphere is becoming more unstable and we will see rain and storm chances
return to the forecast tonight. The factors coming together include a cold weak front
which will settle into the state from the northeast as south southeasterly surface
wind flow increases low level moisture across the state. In addition, a stronger upper
level low pressure disturbance, from the Pacific Ocean basin, will approach Texas
from the west. This system and its counterclockwise rotation will eject smaller
disturbances which will create atmospheric lift and enhance rain and storm chances
especially by late tomorrow into the weekend.
Rain chances will diminish a bit and we’ll see a bit more in the way of sunshine by
Sunday into Monday.
LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– High to very high forecast confidence through tonight..
– A high forecast confidence Wednesday through Monday..
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
TUESDAY (02Jun)…
Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy.
Afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s.
Light east southeasterly wind.
TUESDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Light east southeasterly wind becoming calm.
WEDNESDAY (03Jun)….
Partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.10 inch.
Afternoon highs in the low 90s.
Light wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch.
Overnight low in the low to mid 70s.
Light east southeasterly wind becoming calm.
THURSDAY (04Jun)….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 60% chance of rain, will average 0.20 inch.
Afternoon high in the upper 80s.
Light wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the low 70s.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.
FRIDAY (05June)….
Mostly cloudy.
Numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 70% chance of rain, will average 0.30 inch.
Afternoon high in the mid 80s.
Light wind becoming southeasterly 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT….
Mostly cloudy.
Scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 60% chance of rain, will average 0.25 inch.
Overnight low in the low 70s.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY (06Jun)….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain, will average 0.15 inch.
Afternoon high in the upper 80s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with higher afternoon gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Southeasterly wind decreasing to 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY (07Jun)….
Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.10 inch.
Afternoon high around 90.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with higher afternoon gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY (08Jun)….
Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.10 inch.
Afternoon high around 90.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with higher afternoon gusts.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 09 June 2026 through Monday / 15 June 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 29 May 2026)
Valid Saturday / 13 June 2026 through Friday / 26 June 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Near to Slightly Below Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
