Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Security and Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
Severe Weather Alerts
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Rain and Storm Chances Over the Next Few Days in a More Unstable Environment; A More Stable Pattern with More Sunshine by Sunday into Next Week as Rain Chances Drop from the Forecast (Friday / 05 June 2026)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx
Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera.
On weekends and other holidays when this site is not updated, I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast for metro Austin.
Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx.
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so
it can receive and activate/alarm when NWS watches and warnings are issued ..
.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
Fr/05Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Sa/06Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Su/07Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Mo/08Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Tu/09Jun..
No Weather Threats Expected
We/10Jun..
No Weather Threats Expected
Th/11Jun..
No Weather Threats Expected
—
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, the forecast
is for, on average, 0.75 to 0.85 inch of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties
over the 7 day forecast period which ends Thursday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
We’re seeing rain and storm chances in the forecast once again as the atmosphere
becomes more moist and unstable. The factors coming together include a cold weak
front which has settled into the state from the northeast as south southeasterly surface
wind flow to the south of the front increases low level moisture across the state.
In addition, a stronger upper level low pressure disturbance, from the Pacific Ocean
basin, will approach Texas from the west. This system and its counterclockwise rotation
will eject smaller disturbances which will create atmospheric lift and will result in the
enhanced rain and storm chances.
Rain chances will diminish a bit and we’ll see a bit more in the way of sunshine by
Sunday through the middle part of next week.
LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– High to very high forecast confidence through Sunday..
– A high forecast confidence Monday through Thursday..
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
FRIDAY (05June)….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.15 inch.
Afternoon high in the mid 80s.
Light wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT….
Cloudy.
Scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 60% chance of rain, will average 0.50 inch.
Overnight low in the low 70s.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.
SATURDAY (06Jun)….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered to numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 60% chance of rain, will average 0.25 inch.
Afternoon high in the mid to upper 80s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.10 inch.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY (07Jun)….
Morning low clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.05 inch.
Afternoon high around 90.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with higher afternoon gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY (08Jun)….
Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.10 inch.
Afternoon high around 90.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms early with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY (09Jun)….
Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the low 90s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY (10Jun)….
Morning low clouds becoming mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the low 90s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Low in the mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY (11Jun)….
Some clouds early then mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the low 90s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 12 June 2026 through Thursday / 18 June 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Above Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 29 May 2026)
Valid Saturday / 13 June 2026 through Friday / 26 June 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Near to Slightly Below Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
