Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Security and Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
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With a Dry Weather Pattern, Temperatures Warming Back to Near to Slightly Above Seasonal Averages by Mid and Late Week; Some Rain and Storm Chances by Late Saturday Night into Sunday and Monday as Several Upper Level Disturbances Approach Texas from the West (Monday / 11 May 2026)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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@troykimmelwx
Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera.
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Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
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at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
Tu/12May..
No Weather Threats Expected
We/13May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Th/14May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Fr/15May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Sa/16May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms Saturday Night
Su/17May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Mo/18May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
—
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, the forecast
is for, on average, 0.25 inch of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties
over the 7 day forecast period which ends next Monday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
With a dry and stable weather pattern in place, skies will continue to be mostly clear
to partly cloudy for the next few days. Expect a warming trend over the next few
days as southerly winds return allowing those temperatures to rise to near to
slightly above seasonal averages by mid and late week into next weekend.
Another series of passing upper level low pressure disturbances will approach Texas
by late Saturday into Sunday and Monday with the chance of rain and storms to
increase once again.
LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– High to very high forecast confidence through Saturday..
– Medium to high forecast confidence on Saturday night into Sunday and Monday..
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
TUESDAY (12May)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the mid 80s.
Light or calm wind early becoming light easterly by afternoon.
TUESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the mid 60s.
Light east southeasterly wind becoming calm late.
WEDNESDAY (13May)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the upper 80s to around 90.
Calm wind becoming south southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 60s.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming calm.
THURSDAY (14May)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 90.
Calm wind becoming south southwesterly 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low around 70.
South southeasterly wind decreasing to 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY (15May)….
Morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy.
Afternoon high around 90.
Southerly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy late.
Overnight low in the low to mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph with a few higher gusts.
SATURDAY (16May)….
Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy.
Afternoon high around 90.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers late.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average trace amounts.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY (17May)….
Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rain, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.15 inch or less.
Afternoon high around 90.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy late
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rain, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
MONDAY (18May)….
Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rain, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.15 inch.
Afternoon high around 90.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Tuesday / 19 May 2026 through Monday / 25 May 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Above Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 08 May 2026)
Valid Saturday / 23 May 2026 through Friday / 05 June 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Near Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
