Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Security and Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
Severe Weather Alerts
Visit NWS Tweets
Sunshine Through the Weekend Before Rain and Storm Chances Reappear in a More Unstable Environment For Much of Next Week (Saturday / 30 May 2026)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx
Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera.
On weekends and other holidays when this site is not updated, I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast for metro Austin.
Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx.
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so
it can receive and activate/alarm when NWS watches and warnings are issued ..
.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
Sa/30May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Su/31May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Mo/01Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Tu/02Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
We/03Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Th/04Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Fr/05Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
—
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, the forecast
is for, on average, 0.050 to 0.75 inch of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties
over the 7 day forecast period which ends Friday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
As our stable weather pattern continues, we’ll see sunshine through the weekend.
Temperatures will be near to slightly above seasonal averages.
By Monday into much of next week, the atmosphere will become more unstable.
Clouds will increase and we will see rain and storm chances return to the forecast.
As I discussed yesterday, the weak “backdoor” cold front, coming into Texas from
the northeast, still looks like it will wash out overhead or to our northeast by late
Tuesday night into Wednesday with an increase in precipitation chances.
LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– Very high forecast confidence through Sunday night
– High forecast confidence Monday through Friday
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
SATURDAY (30May)….
Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the low 90s.
Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Light south southeasterly wind becoming calm.
SUNDAY (31May)….
Morning low clouds becoming partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the low to mid 90s.
Light wind becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then low clouds late.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Light south southeasterly wind.
MONDAY (01Jun)….
Morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch.
Afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Light southeasterly wind becoming calm.
TUESDAY (02Jun)…
Partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.10 inch.
Afternoon highs in the low 90s.
Light southeasterly wind.
TUESDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average less than 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the low to mid 70s.
Light southeasterly wind becoming easterly.
WEDNESDAY (03Jun)….
Partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain, will average 0.15 inch.
Afternoon highs in the upper 80s to around 90.
Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the low 70s.
Light east southeasterly wind.
THURSDAY (04Jun)….
Partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.10 inch.
Afternoon highs around 90.
Light wind becoming southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.05 inch.
Overnight low in the low to mid 70s.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY (29May)….
Partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.15 inch.
Afternoon highs around 90.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Saturday / 06 June 2026 through Friday / 12 June 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Near to Slightly Below Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 29 May 2026)
Valid Saturday / 13 June 2026 through Friday / 26 June 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Slightly Below Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Above Normal
