Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Security and Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
Severe Weather Alerts
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Temperatures Warming Back to Near to Slightly Above Seasonal Averages Late Week Through the Upcoming Weekend; Rain and Storm Chances by Sunday Night into the First Part of Next Week as a Strong Upper Level Disturbance Approaches Texas from the West (Wednesday / 13 May 2026)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx
Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera.
On weekends and other holidays when this site is not updated, I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast for metro Austin.
Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx.
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so
it can receive and activate/alarm when NWS watches and warnings are issued ..
.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
We/13May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Th/14May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Fr/15May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Sa/16May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Su/17May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms Sunday Night
Mo/18May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Heavier Rain at Times
Tu/19May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Heavier Rain at Times
—
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, the forecast
is for, on average, 2.50 inches of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties
over the 7 day forecast period which ends next Tuesday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
With a dry and stable weather pattern in place, skies will continue to be mostly clear
to partly cloudy for the next several days. A warming trend will continue as southerly
winds pick up allowing those temperatures to rise to near to slightly above seasonal
averages by mid and late week into next weekend.
Another approaching upper level low pressure disturbance will move eastward toward
Texas by late Sunday into Monday and Tuesday with the chance of rain and storms to
increase once again. In addition to the lightning threat, there are some indications that
periods of heavier rain are possible.
LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– High to very high forecast confidence through Sunday..
– High forecast confidence on Sunday night into Monday and Tuesday..
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
WEDNESDAY (13May)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 90.
Calm wind becoming south southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 60s.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming calm.
THURSDAY (14May)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 90.
Calm wind becoming southerly 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
THURSDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low around 70.
South southeasterly wind decreasing to 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY (15May)….
Morning low clouds then becoming partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the low 90s.
Southerly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
FRIDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy late.
Overnight low in the low to mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph with a few higher gusts.
SATURDAY (16May)….
Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the low 90s.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy late.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SUNDAY (17May)….
Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the low 90s.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy late
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rain, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.10 inch.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
MONDAY (18May)….
Morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rain, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.15 inch.
Afternoon high around 90.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT….
Mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rain, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain, will average 0.25 to 0.50 inch.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
TUESDAY (19May)….
Cloudy.
Numerous rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rain, where it occurs given a 60% chance of rain, will average 0.75 to 1.25 inch.
Afternoon high in the mid to upper 80s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 20 May 2026 through Tuesday / 26 May 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Above Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 08 May 2026)
Valid Saturday / 23 May 2026 through Friday / 05 June 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Near Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
