Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Security and Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
Severe Weather Alerts
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Following Last Night’s Strong Storms, A Quiet Start to the Week with Cooler Temperatures and Less Humid Conditions for Today with Temperatures Warming Back to Near to Slightly Above Seasonal Averages by Mid and Late Week; Some Rain and Storm Chances by Sunday (Monday / 11 May 2026)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx
Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera.
On weekends and other holidays when this site is not updated, I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast for metro Austin.
Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx.
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so
it can receive and activate/alarm when NWS watches and warnings are issued ..
.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
—-
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
Mo/11May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Tu/12May..
No Weather Threats Expected
We/13May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Th/14May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Fr/15May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Sa/16May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Su/17May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
—
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, the forecast
is for, on average, less than 0.05 inch of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties
over the 7 day forecast period which ends next Sunday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
With the overnight upper level low pressure disturbance and cold front through
the area, skies will clear with drier air and a more stable atmosphere taking hold for
the new week ahead with temperatures below average today with a warming trend
following beginning tomorrow with temperatures rising to near to above seasonal
averages by mid and late week into next weekend.
It looks dry over the next six to seven days with a slim chance of rain and storms
returning, in a lower confidence forecast, by next Sunday .
LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– High to very high forecast confidence through Saturday night..
– Medium forecast confidence on Sunday..
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
MONDAY (11May)….
Partly cloudy and less humid.
Afternoon high in the low 80s.
Northerly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the mid 60s.
Winds diminishing and becoming north northeasterly 4 to 8 mph before becoming calm.
TUESDAY (12May)….
Partly cloudy early then mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the mid 80s.
Light or calm wind.
TUESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the mid 60s.
Calm wind.
WEDNESDAY (13May)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the upper 80s.
Calm wind becoming south southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Overnight low in the upper 60s.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming calm.
THURSDAY (14May)….
Mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 90.
Calm wind becoming southerly 5 to 12 mph.
THURSDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low around 70.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY (15May)….
Partly cloudy.
Afternoon high around 90.
Southerly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the low 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY (16May)….
Some morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy.
Afternoon high around 90.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the low 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY (17May)….
Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Afternoon high in the upper 80s to around 90.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 18 May 2026 through Sunday / 24 May 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Above Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 08 May 2026)
Valid Saturday / 23 May 2026 through Friday / 05 June 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Near Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
