Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
Severe Weather Alerts
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A Dry and Stable Weather Pattern Continues Through Tomorrow; An Upper Air Low Pressure Disturbance Moves West to East Overhead Saturday into Sunday with Rain Chances; Skies Clear Once Again Sunday Through the Mid Part of Next Week (Thursday / 05 November 2026)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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@troykimmelwx
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at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
—-
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
Th/05Nov..
No Weather Hazards Expected
Fr/06Nov..
No Weather Hazards Expected
Sa/07Nov..
No Weather Hazards Expected
Su/08Nov..
No Weather Hazards Expected
Mo/09Nov..
No Weather Hazards Expected
Tu/10Nov..
No Weather Hazards Expected
We/11Nov..
No Weather Hazards Expected
—
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance and model forecasts,
0.25 to 0.50 inch of rainfall is forecast for our IH35 corridor counties over
the 7 day forecast period ending on Wednesday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
Surface high pressure has shifted east of the area with a mostly clear
sky, lower humidity and warmer than average afternoon high temperatures
today.
You’ll notice that southerly surface winds have returned today ahead of a
surface cold front which will pass quietly during the night time hours tonight.
Other than a wind shift back to the north, little sensible weather will accompany
the front. Temperatures will cool a few degrees in the wake of the front as the
week comes to a close.
Next up, as a stronger Pacific upper air low pressure disturbance approaches
from northern Mexico late tomorrow into Saturday, clouds will pick up quickly
by tomorrow night into Saturday as rain chances become more likely by Saturday
night into Sunday. Once the system passes by afternoon into evening on Sunday,
rain chances will decrease and clouds will break west to east over the area.
We’re back to a mostly clear sky for the first half of next week with seasonal fall
temperatures.
MY LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– A high to very high forecast confidence now through next Wednesday.
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
THURSDAY (05Nov)….
Mostly clear and warmer in advance of a cold front passing by evening.
Afternoon highs around 80.
Overnight low in the mid 50s.
Light southerly wind shifting north northwesterly 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts by 11pm.
FRIDAY (06Nov)….
Mostly sunny during the day then becoming partly cloudy at night.
Afternoon high in the low to mid 70s.
Overnight low in the low 50s.
Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts becoming light northerly at night.
SATURDAY (07Nov)….
Partly cloudy early then clouds thickening midday into the afternoon. Cloudy at night.
Scattered patches of light rain and rain showers mainly after 6pm.
Night time rainfall, given a 50% chance of rain, will average 0.20 to 0.30 inch.
Afternoon high in the upper 60s to around 70.
Overnight low in the low 50s.
Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.
SUNDAY (08Nov)….
Cloudy in the morning with decreasing clouds in the afternoon.
Scattered patches of light rain and rain showers before 12 noon.
Rainfall, given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.10 to 0.15 inch
Afternoon high in the mid to upper 60s.
Overnight low around 50.
Northerly wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light at night.
MONDAY (09Nov)….
Mostly clear.
Afternoon high around 70.
Overnight low in the upper 40s to around 50.
Light wind becoming light southerly by afternoon.
TUESDAY (10Nov)….
Mostly clear.
Afternoon high in the low 70s.
Overnight lows in the low 50s.
Southerly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph.
WEDNESDAY (11Nov)….
Mostly clear.
Afternoon highs in the mid 70s.
Overnight low in the low 50s.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 12 November 2026 through Wednesday / 18 November 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Above Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 30 October 2026)
Valid Saturday / 14 November 2026 through Friday / 27 November 2026
Temperatures… Equal Chances of Above/Below Normal
Precipitation.. Equal Chances of Above/Below Normal
