Troy Kimmel
UT University / Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
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Unseasonably Warm Temperatures Continue but a Cold Front or Two in our Forecast (Fr/03Dec2021)
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(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)
Updated Friday / 03 December 2021
Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… No Weather Threats Expected Today or Tonight …
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS WEATHER
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) Some morning low clouds, patchy fog and a sprinkle or two prevail this morning as an upper air low pressure disturbance slides eastward over the area. By later today and into the weekend, as the upper air disturbances moves east of the area, a mix of clouds and sunshine is expected to persist over south central Texas as southerly surface winds prevail and afternoon high temperatures continue well above seasonal averages.
(2) Another weak cold front will move into the area late Sunday night with a slim chance of rain. Cooler temperatures will follow the cold frontal passage, however, the front will weaken to our south pretty quickly and return northward as a warm front by late Monday into early Tuesday.
(3) Another cold front appears likely for late Tuesday night into early Wednesday with cooler temperatures to follow for Wednesday and Wednesday night but I do expect a quick return to a southerly wind and warmer temperatures by next Thursday.
NWS/Weather Prediction Center rainfall guidance is predicting less than 0.25 inch of rainfall for areas mainly east of the Austin area/IH35 corridor over the next seven days.
MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to very high confidence through Sunday.. high confidence Sunday night through Thursday.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas
Updated Friday / 03 December 2021
TODAY…. Morning low clouds, patchy fog and a few sprinkles. Decreasing clouds becoming mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. Where rain occurs, given a 20% chance of rain, it will average trace amounts. High 81. Southerly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph.
TONIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds and patchy fog after midnight. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY…. Morning low clouds, patchy fog and drizzle otherwise mostly sunny and unseasonably warm. Where rain occurs, given a less than 20% chance of rain, it will average trace amounts. High 80. Southerly wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early with low clouds and patchy fog after midnight. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SUNDAY…. Morning low clouds and patchy fog. Becoming partly cloudy and unseasonably warm. High 80. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy and turning cooler late. Widely scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms as a cold front passes around midnight. Where rain occurs, given a 20% chance of rain, it will average less than 0.25 inch. Low 56. Light southwesterly wind shifting northerly 8 to 18 mph with some higher gusts after midnight.
MONDAY…. Sunshine, breezy and cooler. High 65. North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear early with increasing clouds late. Low 49. Light northeasterly wind becoming light and variable by late evening.
TUESDAY…. Partly to mostly cloudy and a little warmer. High 70. Calm wind becoming southerly 5 to 12 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy early becoming mostly cloudy late with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms late as a cold front passes. Where rain occurs, given a less than 20% chance of rain, it will average trace amounts. Low 50. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph shifting northerly after midnight.
WEDNESDAY…. Mostly sunny. High 68. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 47. Light northeasterly wind becoming light and variable late.
THURSDAY…. Mostly sunny and warmer. High 73. Light wind becoming southerly 5 to 12 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 10 December 2021 through Thursday / 16 December 2021…
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average
AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (03 December)……………………………………. 7:12 am
Sunset this evening (03 December)……………………………………… 5:30 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (04 December)………………………………………… 7:12 am
Sunset tomorrow (04 December)…………………………………………. 5:30 pm
Today's Forecast
Five Day Planner
