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Troy Kimmel

UT Office of Security and Emergency Management

Incident Response Meteorologist

Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu

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Rain and Thunderstorm Chances, With Periods of Heavier Rain, Hold On Through Midweek; Clouds Linger with Minimal Rain Chances Wednesday Through Next Weekend (Monday/20 April 2026)

Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
On Twitter, follow me and activate notifications for my tweets…
@troykimmelwx

Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera.

On weekends and other holidays when this site is not updated, I encourage you to check out the latest NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast for metro Austin.

Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
responsibility to always have at least two methods of getting current weather information..
.. follow me AND activate notifications on X/Twitter .. @troykimmelwx.
.. have your NWS All Hazards Weather Radio properly set AT ALL TIMES so
it can receive and activate/alarm when NWS watches and warnings are issued ..
.. register to receive emergency updates at https://warncentraltexas.org/
.. make sure the WEA alerts are activated in your settings on your smart phone ..
.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…

Mo/20Apr..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

Tu/21Apr..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

We/22Apr..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

Th/23Apr..
No Weather Threats Expected

Fr/24Apr..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

Sa/25Apr..
No Weather Threats Expected

Su/26Apr..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms

7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, the forecast
is for, on average, 1.50 to 2.00 inches of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties over the
7 day forecast period which ends next Monday.

AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

The cold front, that passed early on Saturday morning, has allowed cooler surface
high pressure to settle south over the area. The area of high pressure with its
associated clockwise flow is now moving east of the area allowing moisture from
the south to surge back over the area with clouds and rain and even a few
thunderstorms making their way back into our area.

As this moisture increases, a stronger upper atmospheric low pressure
disturbance will be moving over the area, from west to east, over the next
48 hour period. As it creates lift, given the abundant moisture in place, we’ll
see widespread rain, rain showers and thunderstorms with the potential of
periods of heavier rain particularly later tonight into tomorrow. This heavier
rain may result in some localized flooding issues particularly in urban areas
and along small streams.

By late tomorrow night into Wednesday, rain chances will decrease a bit as the
main upper air low pressure disturbance moves off to the east of our area.

With clouds lingering, it looks like rain chances drop from the forecast Thursday
into Thursday before a slim chance returns by Friday afternoon.

Expect another break in rain chances Friday night into Saturday and Saturday
before a weak cold front moves into north Texas with slim rain chances again
on Sunday.

LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– High to very high forecast confidence through Thursday night..
– Medium to high forecast confidence Friday through the weekend..

Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
(Updated Monday / 20 April 2026)

MONDAY (20Apr)….
Cloudy.
Numerous rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 90% chance of rain, will average 0.35 inch.
High in the mid 60s.
Light wind becoming east northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT….
Cloudy.
Numerous rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 80% chance of rain, will average 0.35 inch.
Low in the upper 50s.
Light easterly wind.

TUESDAY (21Apr)….
Cloudy with periods of heavier rain possible.
Numerous rain showers and a few thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 90% chance of rain, will average 1.00 inch.
High in the upper 60s.
Light east southeasterly wind increasing to 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT….
Cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain, will average 0.25 inch.
Low in the low to mid 60s.
East southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.

WEDNESDAY (22Apr)…
Cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 50% chance of rain, will average 0.20 inch.
High around 80.
Light wind becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly cloudy.
Low in the mid 60s.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

THURSDAY (23Apr)….
Mostly cloudy.
High in the mid 80s.
Southerly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph with a few higher afternoon gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT….
Mostly cloudy.
Low in the upper 60s to near 70.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY (24Apr)….
Mostly cloudy early then partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorm with an associated lightning threat in the afternoon.
Afternoon rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.20 inch.
High in the mid to upper 80s.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy
Low in the upper 60s to near 70.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph decreasing to 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY (25Apr)….
Mostly cloudy in the morning then partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
High in the mid to upper 80s.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

SATURDAY NIGHT….
Becoming mostly cloudy.
Low in the upper 60s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY (26Apr)….
Mostly cloudy in the morning then partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorm with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.20 inch.
High in the upper 80s to around 90.
Southerly wind increasing to 5 to 12 mph with a few higher gusts.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 27 April 2026 through Sunday / 02 May 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Near Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Above Normal

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 17 April 2026)
Valid Saturday / 02 May 2026 through Friday / 15 May 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Above Normal

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