Troy Kimmel's Weather Updates

A Stable Summer Weather Pattern with Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress Through the Next Seven Day Forecast Period (Weekend Update)

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…

Sa/04Jul..
Slightly Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress/WBGT

Su/05Jul..
Slightly Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress/WBGT

Mo/06Jul..
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress/WBGT

Tu/07Jul..
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress/WBGT

We/08Jul..
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress/WBGT

Th/09Jul..
Elevated Afternoon Heat Stress/WBGT

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7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…

Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance and model forecasts,
little if any rainfall is forecast for our IH35 corridor counties over
the 7 day forecast period which ends next Friday.

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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

The mostly dry and stable summer weather pattern continues to be in
place across our area as broad upper level high pressure persists which
creates a “lid” which limits upward motion in our atmosphere.
Although the center of the upper air high pressure is predicted to shift
more to the west northwest of our area by Sunday and Monday, I still
think the slim rain chances will remain to our distant east and southeast
and those probabilities are 10% or less. As a result, I am not including
any precipitation chances through the next seven day period for the
IH35 corridor.

This “lid,” as well, traps surface heat and, as a result, slightly higher
afternoon temperatures combined with low level moisture will continue
to result in slightly elevated to elevated heat stress and web bulb globe
temperature values over the next week. As usual this time of year, please
remain hydrated and don’t “over do it” in regards to midday, afternoon
and early evening outdoor activities.

LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– A very high forecast confidence today through next Wednesday.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor

SATURDAY – FOURTH OF JULY (04Jul)….
Some morning low clouds then mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the upper 90s.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 103 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 86 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear early then partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SUNDAY (05Jul)….
Some morning low clouds then mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the upper 90s.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 102 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 86 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

MONDAY (06Jul)….
Some morning low clouds then mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the mid to upper 90s.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 104 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 86 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph with some higher gusts.

MONDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid to upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

TUESDAY (07Jul)….
Brief morning low clouds then mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the upper 90s.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 104 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 86 F.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY (08Jul)….
Brief morning low clouds then mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the upper 90s to near 100.
Maximum afternoon heat stress (HI) index 104 F
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 86 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph with some higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the upper 70s.
South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY (09Jul)….
Brief morning low clouds then mostly sunny.
Afternoon high in the upper 90s to around 100.
Maximum afternoon maximum heat stress (HI) index 105 F.
Maximum afternoon wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) 86 F.
Southerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 10 July 2026 through Thursday / 16 July 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near to Slightly Above Normal

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday/26Jun2026)
Valid Saturday / 11 July 2026 through Friday / 24 July 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Near Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near Normal

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