Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Security and Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
Severe Weather Alerts
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Following the Passage of an Upper Level Low Pressure Disturbance Today, Clouds Break with More Sunshine For Late Week; Another Disturbance with Renewed Rain Chances for the Weekend into Next Week (Wednesday / 27 May 2026)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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@troykimmelwx
Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT University of Texas weather conditions and see the live camera.
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Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
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.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
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AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
We/27May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Heavier Rain at Times; Some Flooding Issues Possible
Th/28May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Fr/29May..
No Weather Threats Expected
Sa/30May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms Saturday Night
Su/31May..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Mo/01Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
Tu/02Jun..
A Lightning Threat with Any Thunderstorms
—
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, the forecast
is for, on average, 2.25 to 2.50 inches of rainfall, with isolated higher amounts,
for our IH35 corridor counties over the 7 day forecast period which ends
Tuesday.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
An upper level low pressure disturbance is crossing the IH35 corridor this morning
with renewed rain and storm chances.
Once this system passes, we’ll see clouds break with more sunshine with only slim
rain chances for the end of the week.
Another disturbance is headed our way, it would appear, for the weekend into early
next week with the possibility of some heavier rainfall totals.
LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
– High to very high forecast confidence through the next seven days..
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
WEDNESDAY (27May)….
Cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Periods of heavy rain in the morning hours with some urban flooding issues possible.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 60% chance of rain, will average 1.00 inch with isolated higher amounts.
Afternoon high in the low 80s.
South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before midnight.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.15 inch or less.
Overnight low around 70.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming calm.
THURSDAY (28May)….
Partly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat in the afternoon.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average 0.15 inch or less.
Afternoon high in the upper 80s.
Calm wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
THURSDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the low to mid 70s.
Light easterly wind becoming calm.
FRIDAY (29May)….
Partly cloudy early then mostly sunny.
Afternoon high around 90.
Calm wind becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Light south southeasterly wind.
SATURDAY (30May)….
Morning low clouds otherwise partly cloudy.
Afternoon high in the low 90s.
Southerly wind 4 to 8 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy early then mostly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat late.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.20 inch or less.
Overnight low in the mid 70s.
Light south southeasterly wind.
SUNDAY (31May)….
Partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.25 inch or less.
Afternoon high around 90.
Light south southeasterly wind becoming southerly 5 to 10 mph by afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy as a weak cold front passes.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average 0.25 inch or less.
Overnight low in the low 70s.
Light south southeasterly wind becoming east northeasterly 4 to 8 mph.
MONDAY (01Jun)….
Partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 40% chance of rain, will average less than 0.25 inch.
Afternoon highs in the upper 80s.
Light easterly wind.
MONDAY NIGHT….
Partly cloudy.
Widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average less than 0.10 inch.
Overnight low in the low 70s.
Light wind.
TUESDAY (02Jun)…
Partly cloudy.
Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.20 inch.
Afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Light wind becoming easterly 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 03 June 2026 through Tuesday / 09 June 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Below Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Above Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 22 May 2026)
Valid Saturday / 06 June 2026 through Friday / 19 June 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Near Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near Normal
