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Troy Kimmel

UT University / Incident Response Meteorologist

Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu

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Sunshine Continues Through Tomorrow; Southerly Surface Winds Return as Clouds and Humidity Pick Up By Tomorrow Night into Early Saturday; Another Series of Cold Fronts are On Tap for Next Week with Some Rain Chances (We/11Dec2024)

Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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@troykimmelwx

Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT
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On weekends, during the summer break and other University holidays
when this site is not updated,
I encourage you to check out the latest
NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast
for metro Austin at THIS LINK.

In times of severe and/or inclement weather, you can follow the latest area
watch, advisory and warning updates from our local NWS Austin-San Antonio
office through their WEBSITE.. or by reading the actual text products (always
the most recent at the top of the page) through THIS LINK which is courtesy of
the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Always check the date and time of issuance
of these NWS text products since, in periods of tranquil weather, the latest
products may be outdated and/or expired.

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS / IH35 CORRIDOR
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

Countywide burn bans in effect for most of the IH35 corridor including Travis
and Hays Counties. It was dropped, on Friday (06Dec), for Williamson County.

—-

AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS / IH35 CORRIDOR
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) A dry and stable late fall weather pattern continues as high pressure, following our cold front late Monday night, settles over the area.

(2) By late tomorrow and Friday into the weekend, the surface high pressure area will move eastward resulting in a return south southeasterly surface wind flow. This will result in warmer temperatures along with increased humidity and cloudiness. Rain chances appear very minimal as we head into the weekend but I will include a few sprinkles for Friday into early Saturday with the best chances east of our area. A weak cold front will approach the area on Saturday but it should weaken and pull up stationary just to our north before northward as a warm front by Saturday night.

(3) Another cold front, more Pacific in nature, will move into the area on Monday with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms but, again, best chances remain to our east and northeast. Just beyond my seven day forecast, another cold front looks to approach our area by next Wednesday.

Based partially on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, my forecast,
on average, is for rainfall of less than 0.20 inch for our IH35 corridor counties over the next seven day period.

MY LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast.

Troy’s Weather Forecast
for Austin / University of Texas and the IH35 Corridor
Updated Wednesday / 11 December 2024

TODAY (11Dec)…. Sunshine. High 63. West northwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoing light this afternoon.

TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 37 in the city to around 32 in the outlying and low lying areas. Calm wind becoming light suotherly after midnight.

THURSDAY (12Dec)…. Mostly sunny. High 67. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy late. Low 54. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

FRIDAY (13Dec)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. A few afternoon sprinkles possible. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average trace amounts. High 73. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. Low 59. South southeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY (14Dec)…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers before noon then becoming partly cloudy. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. High 73. South southwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 52. Light wind.

SUNDAY (15Dec)…. Partly cloudy. High 74. Light wind becoming south southeasterly 5 to 12 mph by afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. Low 59. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY (16Dec)…. Cloudy in the morning then turning partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat in the mid and late afternoon hours. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.10 inch or less. High 76. South southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat as a cold front passes by 8pm. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. Low 51. Wind shifting northwesterly 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY (17Dec)…. Mostly sunny and less humid. High 68. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Wednesday / 18 December 2024 through Tuesday / 24 December 2024
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Above Average

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday/29Nov2024)
Valid Saturday / 14 December 2024 through Friday / 27 December 2024
Temperatures… Equal Chances for Above/Below Normal
Precipitation… Slightly Below Chance for Drier than Average

AUSTIN SUNRISE/SUNSET TIMES…..
Today (We/11Dec)…………………………………….. 7:17 am / 5:31 pm (- 0 minutes)
Tomorrow (Th/12Dec)……………………………….. 7:18 am / 5:31 pm (- 1 minutes)
Friday (13Dec)………………………………………….. 7:19 am / 5:32 pm (- 2 minutes)
Saturday (14Dec)……………………………………… 7:19 am / 5:32 pm (- 0 minutes)
Sunday (15Dec)………………………………………… 7:20 am / 5:32 pm (- 1 minutes)

tk

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