Troy Kimmel
UT Office of Security and Emergency Management
Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Retired Affiliate, Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
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Sunshine Continues Through the Weekend; Gusty Winds Expected Again Saturday; Following Another Cold Front Monday, Clouds Increase with Some Rain Chances Developing by Tuesday into Wednesday
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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@troykimmelwx
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for metro Austin at THIS LINK.
Remember that, in periods of severe/inclement weather, it is YOUR
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.. go to the NWS Austin-San Antonio website at weather.gov/ewx ..
.. go to http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/cgi-bin/afos/retrieve.py?pil=warewx&limit=20&fmt=html for a chronological text listing (most current
at the top but note the page doesn’t auto-refresh, you must refresh page manually) tranquil weather, the latest products may be outdated and/or expired..
—-
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
7-DAY FORECAST WEATHER HAZARDS…
Sa/17Jan..
Elevated Afternoon Wildfire Danger
Su/18Jan..
No Weather Threats
Mo/19Jan..
No Weather Threats
Tu/20Jan..
No Weather Threats
We/21Jan..
No Weather Threats
Th/22Jan..
No Weather Threats
7-DAY RAINFALL FOR THE IH-35 CORRIDOR…
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center data and guidance, the forecast is for
0.50 inch of rainfall for our IH35 corridor counties over the 7 day forecast period which
ends next Thursday. This rainfall would occur in the Tuesday and Wednesday time period.
—
AUSTIN / IH35 CORRIDOR
MY SEVEN DAY WEATHER THOUGHTS
AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
Abundant sunshine is expected through the weekend.
Winds will result in an elevated wildfire danger for tomorrow afternoon.
Following another cold front passage on Monday, an approaching upper level disturbance will result in increasing clouds by the start of next week with rain chances beginning Tuesday and continuing through Wednesday before clouds break again with a warming trend by Thursday.
MY LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THIS SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD …
A high to very high confidence forecast through Monday night.
A medium to high confidence forecast Tuesday through Wednesday regarding rain chances/amounts.
A high confidence forecast for next Thursday.
—
Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin, South Central Texas and the IH35 Corridor
SATURDAY (17Jan)….
Mostly sunny and cooler.
Elevated afternoon wildfire danger.
Highs in the mid 50s.
North northeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with some higher afternoon gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear with an area wide freeze.
Lows in the mid 20s in outlying low lying areas to near 30 in the urban area.
North northeasterly wind 5 to 12 mph becoming light north northeasterly late.
SUNDAY (18Jan)….
Mostly sunny.
Highs around 60.
Calm wind becoming southwesterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.
SUNDAY NIGHT….
Mostly clear.
Lows in the upper 30s.
Light southerly wind early becoming calm by mid evening.
MONDAY – MLK DAY (19Jan)….
Mostly sunny in the morning then turning partly cloudy as a cold front passes by midday.
Highs in the mid 60s.
Light southerly wind shifting north northeasterly 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT….
Thickening clouds becoming mostly cloudy after 10pm.
Lows in the upper 30s.
Light northeasterly wind.
TUESDAY (20Jan)….
Mostly cloudy and cooler with a few sprinkles developing by late afternoon.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain, will average trace amounts.
Highs in the low to mid 50s.
Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.05 inch.
Lows in the mid 40s.
Light east southeasterly wind.
WEDNESDAY (21Jan)….
Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers.
Rainfall, where it occurs given a 30% chance of rain, will average 0.10 inch.
Highs around 60.
Southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT….
Mostly cloudy early then decreasing clouds after midnight.
Lows in the upper 40s.
Light southeasterly wind.
THURSDAY (22Jan)….
Partly cloudy.
Highs in the mid to upper 60s.
Easterly wind 4 to 8 mph.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Friday / 23 January 2026 through Thursday / 29 January 2026
Temperature… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Slightly Above Normal
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday / 09 January 2026)
Valid Saturday / 24 January 2026 through Friday / 06 February 2026
Temperatures… Better Chances of Above Normal
Precipitation… Better Chances of Near Normal
tk
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