Troy Kimmel
UT University / Incident Response Meteorologist
Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@utexas.edu
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A Dry Five Day Period Ahead for South Central Texas; Watching a Cold Front and Some Rain Chances for Early into Mid Part of Next Week (Th/19Sep2024)
Any questions? Contact me:
tkimmel@utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com
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Courtesy of WeatherStem, check out the latest CURRENT
University of Texas weather conditions and see our live camera at THIS LINK.
On weekends, during the summer break and other University holidays
when this site is not updated, I encourage you to check out the latest
NWS Austin-San Antonio forecast for metro Austin at THIS LINK.
In times of severe and/or inclement weather, you can follow the latest area
watch, advisory and warning updates from our local NWS Austin-San Antonio
office through their WEBSITE.. or by reading the actual text products (always
the most recent at the top of the page) through THIS LINK which is courtesy of
the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Always check the date and time of issuance
of these NWS text products since, in periods of tranquil weather, the latest
products may be outdated and/or expired.
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS / IH35 CORRIDOR
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…
… Elevated Afternoon Heat Values with High Temps Well Above Seasonal Averages …
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NOAA / NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER (NHC)
7 DAY OUTLOOK FOR THE TEXAS COAST…
Even with a 40% chance of development over the next seven days of a tropical disturbance over the northwestern Caribbean Sea, there are no tropical threats to the Texas coast over the next seven day period..
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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS / IH35 CORRIDOR
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …
(1) A dry and stable weather pattern persists for our area over the next five days with afternoon high temperatures remaining well above seasonal averages through the weekend.
(2) The upper level high, acting like a “lid” on the atmosphere, will weaken early into mid part of next week as an upper level trough, or line of low pressure, moves eastward through the plains states. An associated surface cold front will be moving into Texas as this happens.. the timing of this front is still a bit uncertain, but I will be bringing down temperatures closer to what they should be this time of year. A chance of rain is being introduced as well.
Based on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, 0.25 inch of rain is forecast for our IH35 corridor counties over the next seven day period.
MY LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
High to very high confidence forecast.
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Troy’s Weather Forecast
for Austin / University of Texas and the IH35 Corridor
Updated Thursday / 19 September 2024
TODAY (19Sep)…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Light wind early becoming southerly 5 to 10 mph.
TONIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 75. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.
FRIDAY (20Sep)…. Mostly sunny. High 99. Light wind early becoming southerly 5 to 10 mph.
FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.
SATURDAY (21Sep)…. Mostly sunny. High 98. Light wind early becoming southerly 5 to 10 mph.
SATURDAY NIGHT…. Mostly clear. Low 74. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.
SUNDAY (22Sep)…. Mostly sunny. High 96. Light wind early becoming southerly 5 to 10 mph.
SUNDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 73. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.
MONDAY (23Sep)…. Mostly sunny. High 93. Light wind early becoming southerly 5 to 10 mph.
MONDAY NIGHT…. Becoming partly cloudy. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.
TUESDAY (24Sep)…. Mostly sunny. High 93. Light wind early becoming southerly 5 to 10 mph.
TUESDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.15 inch or less. Low 72. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.
WEDNESDAY (25Sep)…. Partly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Rainfall, where it occurs given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.15 inch or less. High 91. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph becoming light.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 26 September 2024 through Wednesday / 02 October 2024
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Below Average
AUSTIN SUNRISE/SUNSET TIMES…..
Today (Th/19Sep)………………………………………. 7:18 am / 7:31 pm (- 2 minutes)
Tomorrow (Fr/20Sep)…………………………………. 7:18 am / 7:30 pm (- 1 minutes)
Saturday (21Sep)……………………………………….. 7:19 am / 7:28 pm (- 3 minutes)
tk
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