Troy Kimmel's Weather Updates

Sunshine Continues Today; Southerly Surface Winds Return as Clouds and Humidity Pick Up Tomorrow Night into Early Saturday; Another Series of Cold Fronts are On Tap for Next Week with Some Rain Chances (Th/12Dec2024)

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troy@troykimmelweather.com

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In times of severe and/or inclement weather, you can follow the latest area
watch, advisory and warning updates from our local NWS Austin-San Antonio
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of these NWS text products since, in periods of tranquil weather, the latest
products may be outdated and/or expired.

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS / IH35 CORRIDOR
WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT…

Countywide burn bans in effect for most of the IH35 corridor including Travis
and Hays Counties. It was dropped, on Friday (06Dec), for Williamson County.

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AUSTIN / UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS / IH35 CORRIDOR
SEVEN DAY WEATHER HEADLINES AND MY 7 DAY FORECAST CONFIDENCE …

(1) The surface high pressure area overhead last few days has now moved eastward resulting in a return south southeasterly surface wind flow. This will result in warmer temperatures along with increased humidity and cloudiness. Clouds will pickup by tonight and then persist through tomorrow into early Saturday. Rain chances appear very minimal as we head into the weekend but I will include a few sprinkles for Friday night into early Saturday with the best chances east of our area as a weak cold front washes out before reaching our area. It will return northward as a warm front by Saturday afternoon and Saturday night.

(2) A partly to mostly cloudy sky will persist late Saturday through Sunday night as above average temperatures continue.

(3) Another cold front, more Pacific in nature, will move into the area late Monday with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms but, again, best chances remain to our east and northeast. Cooler and drier air will move in for Monday night into Tuesday and Tuesday night.

(4) Another cold front looks to approach our area by next Wednesday.

Based partially on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, my forecast,
on average, is for rainfall of less than 0.25 inch for our IH35 corridor counties over the next seven day period.

MY LOCAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…
A high to very high confidence forecast.

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Troy’s Weather Forecast
for Austin / University of Texas and the IH35 Corridor
Updated Thursday / 12 December 2024

TODAY (12Dec)…. Mostly sunny. High 66. Southerly wind increasing to 8 to 15 mph.

TONIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy late. Low 55. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

FRIDAY (13Dec)…. Some morning low clouds otherwise partly to mostly cloudy. High 70. South southeasterly wind 8 to 15 mph with a few higher gusts.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Mostly cloudy with widely scattered rain showers. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 20% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY (14Dec)…. Patchy fog early. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers before noon then becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. High 73. South southwesterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Partly to mostly cloudy. Low 60. Light wind.

SUNDAY (15Dec)…. Patchy fog early. Partly to mostly cloudy. High 75. Light wind becoming south southeasterly 4 to 8 mph by afternoon.

SUNDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming mostly cloudy. Low 62. South southeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

MONDAY (16Dec)…. Cloudy in the morning then turning partly to mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat in the mid and late afternoon hours as a cold front passes. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average 0.15 inch or less. High 77. South southwesterly wind 8 to 15 mph shifting northerly.

MONDAY NIGHT…. Partly cloudy with windely scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat before 7pm. Turning cooler. Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 30% chance of rain at any given location, will average less than 0.05 inch. Low 49. Northwesterly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY (17Dec)…. Mostly sunny and less humid. High 66. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Increasing clouds becoming partly to mostly cloudy. Low 48. Northeasterly wind 4 to 8 mph.

WEDNESDAY (18Dec)…. Partly to mostly cloudy as a cold front passes. High 66. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Thursday / 19 December 2024 through Wednesday / 25 December 2024
Temperatures… Above Average
Precipitation… Near to Slightly Above Average

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC)
3 TO 4 WEEK OUTLOOK (Updated on Friday/29Nov2024)
Valid Saturday / 14 December 2024 through Friday / 27 December 2024
Temperatures… Equal Chances for Above/Below Normal
Precipitation… Slightly Below Chance for Drier than Average

AUSTIN SUNRISE/SUNSET TIMES…..
Today (Th/12Dec)…………………………………….. 7:18 am / 5:31 pm (- 1 minutes)
Tomorrow (Fr/13Dec)……………………………….. 7:19 am / 5:32 pm (- 2 minutes)
Saturday (13Dec)……………………………………… 7:19 am / 5:32 pm (- 0 minutes)
Sunday (14Dec)……………………………………….. 7:20 am / 5:32 pm (- 1 minutes)
Monday (15Dec)……………………………………….. 7:20 am / 5:32 pm (- 0 minutes)

tk

 

 

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