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Troy Kimmel

UT University / Incident Meteorologist

Member, Campus Safety and Security Committee
Senior Lecturer, Department of Geography and the Environment
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu

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Thursday / 15 October 2018 Update….

Troy’s Audio Weather Webcast for Monday / 15 October 2018….

Updated Shortly

Updated 915am CT – Monday / 15 October 2018

… Clouds and Rain Continue in an Overrunning Pattern …
… Well Below Average Temperatures Continue for the Seven Day Period Ahead …

On the Weather Map…

On the surface map… a strong cold front extends southward from a surface low over the eastern Great Lakes into the Tennessee Valley and northern Louisiana to onshore along the Texas coast then into northeastern Mexico. High pressure, north of the front, is centered over eastern Colorado, eastern Kansas and southwestern Nebraska. As a result of this surface weather pattern, in the wake of the cold front overnight, our surface winds over south central Texas are gusty north northwesterly.

On the upper air map… a slowly eastward moving deep broad trough, or line, of upper level low pressure is located from southern Canada and the western Great Lakes southwestward into southern California. As a result of this upper air weather pattern, the 30,000 foot winds over our local area are southwesterly around 50 mph.

What I am Seeing As I Look Ahead…

In the wake of the strong overnight cold front, the much cooler surface air.. only several thousand feet thick.. is being overridden by low and mid level moisture resulting in a chilly, cloudy and wet (overrunning) weather pattern persisting through much of 7 day forecast period.

Temperatures will be well below seasonal averages.

NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance suggests an average of 2 to 4 inches of rain for our local area over the next seven day period with isolated heavier totals possible.

Have a good Monday..
Meteorologist Troy Kimmel

Contact me:
tkimmel@austin.utexas.edu
troy@troykimmelweather.com

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Updated 845am CT… Monday / 15 October 2018

TODAY…. Cloudy and unseasonably cold with rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 80% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. High 49. North northwesterly wind 15 to 25 mph and gusty.

TONIGHT…. Cloudy with rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 80% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 to 1/2 inch. Low 44. North northwesterly wind 10 to 20 mph.

TUESDAY…. Cloudy and unseasonably cool with rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 80% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. High 49. Northerly wind 8 to 18 mph.

TUESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with rain showers. A 70% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch or less. Low 45. Northerly wind 5 to 12 mph.

WEDNESDAY…. Mostly cloudy with scattered rain showers. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 52. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 50% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average 1/4 inch. Low 50. North northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY…. Cloudy with rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 80% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 59. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

THURSDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 80% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 53. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 63. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

FRIDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 56. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 66. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SATURDAY NIGHT…. Cloudy with scattered to numerous rain showers and isolated thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 60% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. Low 56. Northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

SUNDAY…. Cloudy with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning risk. A 40% chance of rain; where rainfall occurs, it will average less than 1/4 inch. High 68. East northeasterly wind 5 to 10 mph.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK
Valid Monday / 22 October 2018 through Sunday / 28 October 2018…
Temperatures… Below Average
Precipitation… Above Average

AUSTIN SUNSET/SUNRISE TIMES…..
Sunrise this morning (15Oct)………………………………………. 7:33 am
Sunset this evening (15Oct)………………………………………… 7:00 pm
Sunrise tomorrow (16Oct)…………………………………………… 7:34 am
Sunset tomorrow (16Oct)……………………………………………. 6:59 pm

Doppler Weather Radar

In Case This Image is UNAVAILABLE, use this Image

EWX Doppler Weather Radar GRK Doppler Weather Radar

Courtesy / National Weather Service

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